**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate, which project overnight lows near 80°F (27°C) under partly cloudy to clear conditions with highs around 32°C. Shanghai’s subtropical summer climate, combined with urban heat retention and typical August humidity, maintains minimums in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns without incoming cold air or significant precipitation that would enhance radiative cooling. Historical August overnight lows in the city average near 26–27°C, providing climatological support for the outcome. Resolution hinges on official station data, typically reported the following day. Scenarios that could realistically alter this include an unexpected frontal passage or measurement anomaly at the primary observing site, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation below 26°C or above 28°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日上海最低气温？
8月25日上海最低气温？
27°C 97%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
最新
$10,216 交易量
最新
$10,216 交易量
2026-08-25
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
最新
$10,216 交易量
最新
$10,216 交易量
2026-08-25
22°C or below
$269 交易量
<1%
23°C
$204 交易量
<1%
24°C
$206 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,495 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,180 交易量
3%
27°C
$2,577 交易量
97%
28°C
$1,893 交易量
<1%
29°C
$171 交易量
<1%
30°C
$825 交易量
<1%
31°C
$231 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$164 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate, which project overnight lows near 80°F (27°C) under partly cloudy to clear conditions with highs around 32°C. Shanghai’s subtropical summer climate, combined with urban heat retention and typical August humidity, maintains minimums in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts.
Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns without incoming cold air or significant precipitation that would enhance radiative cooling. Historical August overnight lows in the city average near 26–27°C, providing climatological support for the outcome. Resolution hinges on official station data, typically reported the following day.
Scenarios that could realistically alter this include an unexpected frontal passage or measurement anomaly at the primary observing site, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation below 26°C or above 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10,216结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate, which project overnight lows near 80°F (27°C) under partly cloudy to clear conditions with highs around 32°C. Shanghai’s subtropical summer climate, combined with urban heat retention and typical August humidity, maintains minimums in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts.
Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns without incoming cold air or significant precipitation that would enhance radiative cooling. Historical August overnight lows in the city average near 26–27°C, providing climatological support for the outcome. Resolution hinges on official station data, typically reported the following day.
Scenarios that could realistically alter this include an unexpected frontal passage or measurement anomaly at the primary observing site, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation below 26°C or above 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,216结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25, 2026, at 96.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate, which project overnight lows near 80°F (27°C) under partly cloudy to clear conditions with highs around 32°C. Shanghai’s subtropical summer climate, combined with urban heat retention and typical August humidity, maintains minimums in this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns without incoming cold air or significant precipitation that would enhance radiative cooling. Historical August overnight lows in the city average near 26–27°C, providing climatological support for the outcome. Resolution hinges on official station data, typically reported the following day. Scenarios that could realistically alter this include an unexpected frontal passage or measurement anomaly at the primary observing site, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation below 26°C or above 28°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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