Current forecast consensus from numerical models positions overnight lows in Shanghai near 26–27°C on August 26, driving the market-implied probabilities of 57% for 27°C and 34% for 26°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies limit radiative cooling overnight while maintaining high humidity that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, consistent with climatological August minimums around 25–27°C and the absence of incoming frontal systems or heavy precipitation that could alter the thermal profile before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日上海最低气温？
8月26日上海最低气温？
27°C 57%
26°C 34%
25°C 7%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
34%
27°C
57%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 57%
26°C 34%
25°C 7%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
$232 交易量
<1%
23°C
$10 交易量
<1%
24°C
$190 交易量
2%
25°C
$76 交易量
7%
26°C
$439 交易量
34%
27°C
$277 交易量
57%
28°C
$50 交易量
4%
29°C
$82 交易量
1%
30°C
$134 交易量
<1%
31°C
$154 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$220 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical models positions overnight lows in Shanghai near 26–27°C on August 26, driving the market-implied probabilities of 57% for 27°C and 34% for 26°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies limit radiative cooling overnight while maintaining high humidity that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, consistent with climatological August minimums around 25–27°C and the absence of incoming frontal systems or heavy precipitation that could alter the thermal profile before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,863结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical models positions overnight lows in Shanghai near 26–27°C on August 26, driving the market-implied probabilities of 57% for 27°C and 34% for 26°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies limit radiative cooling overnight while maintaining high humidity that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, consistent with climatological August minimums around 25–27°C and the absence of incoming frontal systems or heavy precipitation that could alter the thermal profile before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,863结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from numerical models positions overnight lows in Shanghai near 26–27°C on August 26, driving the market-implied probabilities of 57% for 27°C and 34% for 26°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies limit radiative cooling overnight while maintaining high humidity that moderates temperature drops. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, consistent with climatological August minimums around 25–27°C and the absence of incoming frontal systems or heavy precipitation that could alter the thermal profile before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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