Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and elevated humidity from a moist southerly flow will limit nocturnal radiative cooling over Guangzhou on August 27, keeping the overnight minimum near 26–28 °C. This places the most likely range squarely on the four outcomes each priced at 26.5 % implied probability. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds below 10 km/h, and the timing of any clearing will determine whether the low settles closer to 25 °C or holds near 28 °C; any stronger onshore flow or earlier rain cessation could allow brief drops toward 24 °C, while continued overcast conditions favor the warmer side of the distribution. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日广州最低气温？
8月27日广州最低气温？
23°C 49%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
21°C或以下
15%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
23°C 49%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
21°C或以下
$5 交易量
15%
22°C
$157 交易量
26%
23°C
$27 交易量
49%
24°C
$8 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$177 交易量
<1%
29℃
$53 交易量
<1%
30°C
$66 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$35 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and elevated humidity from a moist southerly flow will limit nocturnal radiative cooling over Guangzhou on August 27, keeping the overnight minimum near 26–28 °C. This places the most likely range squarely on the four outcomes each priced at 26.5 % implied probability. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds below 10 km/h, and the timing of any clearing will determine whether the low settles closer to 25 °C or holds near 28 °C; any stronger onshore flow or earlier rain cessation could allow brief drops toward 24 °C, while continued overcast conditions favor the warmer side of the distribution. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$527结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and elevated humidity from a moist southerly flow will limit nocturnal radiative cooling over Guangzhou on August 27, keeping the overnight minimum near 26–28 °C. This places the most likely range squarely on the four outcomes each priced at 26.5 % implied probability. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds below 10 km/h, and the timing of any clearing will determine whether the low settles closer to 25 °C or holds near 28 °C; any stronger onshore flow or earlier rain cessation could allow brief drops toward 24 °C, while continued overcast conditions favor the warmer side of the distribution. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$527结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from regional models indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and elevated humidity from a moist southerly flow will limit nocturnal radiative cooling over Guangzhou on August 27, keeping the overnight minimum near 26–28 °C. This places the most likely range squarely on the four outcomes each priced at 26.5 % implied probability. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, wind speeds below 10 km/h, and the timing of any clearing will determine whether the low settles closer to 25 °C or holds near 28 °C; any stronger onshore flow or earlier rain cessation could allow brief drops toward 24 °C, while continued overcast conditions favor the warmer side of the distribution. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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