Recent model consensus points to overnight lows near 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 26 amid lingering subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflecting modest divergence among global and regional ensembles on cloud persistence and radiative cooling. High humidity and dew points near 25°C limit nocturnal temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation, while variable wind and rainfall timing can either enhance mixing or allow brief clear periods for greater cooling. Historical late-August averages near 25.3°C provide baseline context, yet current convective patterns favor slightly elevated minima compared with drier analogs. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日广州最低气温？
8月26日广州最低气温？
29°C 48%
23°C 44%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
44%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
48%
30°C
10%
31°C或更高
1%
29°C 48%
23°C 44%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C或以下
$185 交易量
2%
22°C
$135 交易量
2%
23°C
$15 交易量
44%
24°C
$20 交易量
23%
25°C
$0 交易量
23%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$0 交易量
27%
29°C
$140 交易量
48%
30°C
$75 交易量
10%
31°C或更高
$16 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to overnight lows near 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 26 amid lingering subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflecting modest divergence among global and regional ensembles on cloud persistence and radiative cooling. High humidity and dew points near 25°C limit nocturnal temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation, while variable wind and rainfall timing can either enhance mixing or allow brief clear periods for greater cooling. Historical late-August averages near 25.3°C provide baseline context, yet current convective patterns favor slightly elevated minima compared with drier analogs. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$586结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to overnight lows near 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 26 amid lingering subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflecting modest divergence among global and regional ensembles on cloud persistence and radiative cooling. High humidity and dew points near 25°C limit nocturnal temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation, while variable wind and rainfall timing can either enhance mixing or allow brief clear periods for greater cooling. Historical late-August averages near 25.3°C provide baseline context, yet current convective patterns favor slightly elevated minima compared with drier analogs. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$586结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model consensus points to overnight lows near 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 26 amid lingering subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds reflecting modest divergence among global and regional ensembles on cloud persistence and radiative cooling. High humidity and dew points near 25°C limit nocturnal temperature drops by trapping longwave radiation, while variable wind and rainfall timing can either enhance mixing or allow brief clear periods for greater cooling. Historical late-August averages near 25.3°C provide baseline context, yet current convective patterns favor slightly elevated minima compared with drier analogs. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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