**Trader sentiment for Manila’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27 °C because official forecasts from PAGASA place the expected overnight minimum near 26 °C amid ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence.** PAGASA’s latest outlook lists a 26–29 °C range for the day, consistent with the broader August climatology of 24–27 °C nighttime lows. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light to moderate winds from the southwest help mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops. Model runs and ensemble spreads show small differences in timing and coverage of convection, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add further variability depending on exact station location and wind direction. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by official observations, traders weigh these atmospheric factors—monsoon moisture, cloud persistence, and steering flow—against historical analogs that rarely fall below 24 °C or exceed 27 °C in late August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日马尼拉的最低温度？
8月27日马尼拉的最低温度？
24°C 50%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
23°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
41%
24°C
50%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
29%
24°C 50%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
23°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
22°C
$0 交易量
12%
23°C
$0 交易量
41%
24°C
$0 交易量
50%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
26%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$0 交易量
50%
29°C
$0 交易量
50%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27 °C because official forecasts from PAGASA place the expected overnight minimum near 26 °C amid ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence.**
PAGASA’s latest outlook lists a 26–29 °C range for the day, consistent with the broader August climatology of 24–27 °C nighttime lows. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light to moderate winds from the southwest help mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops.
Model runs and ensemble spreads show small differences in timing and coverage of convection, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add further variability depending on exact station location and wind direction. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by official observations, traders weigh these atmospheric factors—monsoon moisture, cloud persistence, and steering flow—against historical analogs that rarely fall below 24 °C or exceed 27 °C in late August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27 °C because official forecasts from PAGASA place the expected overnight minimum near 26 °C amid ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence.**
PAGASA’s latest outlook lists a 26–29 °C range for the day, consistent with the broader August climatology of 24–27 °C nighttime lows. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light to moderate winds from the southwest help mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops.
Model runs and ensemble spreads show small differences in timing and coverage of convection, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add further variability depending on exact station location and wind direction. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by official observations, traders weigh these atmospheric factors—monsoon moisture, cloud persistence, and steering flow—against historical analogs that rarely fall below 24 °C or exceed 27 °C in late August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Manila’s lowest temperature on August 27, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27 °C because official forecasts from PAGASA place the expected overnight minimum near 26 °C amid ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) influence.** PAGASA’s latest outlook lists a 26–29 °C range for the day, consistent with the broader August climatology of 24–27 °C nighttime lows. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limit radiative cooling after sunset, while light to moderate winds from the southwest help mix the boundary layer and prevent sharper drops. Model runs and ensemble spreads show small differences in timing and coverage of convection, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila add further variability depending on exact station location and wind direction. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by official observations, traders weigh these atmospheric factors—monsoon moisture, cloud persistence, and steering flow—against historical analogs that rarely fall below 24 °C or exceed 27 °C in late August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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