Trader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and favor overnight lows near 26–27°C per PAGASA guidance. Official outlooks list highs near 30°C and lows of 26–27°C under these conditions, consistent with recent observed minima of 26–27.6°C at PAGASA stations. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical lows 24–26°C) support the clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, while lower odds for 24°C or below reflect the insulating effect of humidity and urban heat. Minor forecast shifts in rainfall timing or wind could nudge the exact minimum within this narrow range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日马尼拉的最低温度？
8月26日马尼拉的最低温度？
31°C或更高 35%
23°C 30%
27°C 28%
25°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
30%
24°C
19%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C
23%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
35%
31°C或更高 35%
23°C 30%
27°C 28%
25°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
21°C或以下
$135 交易量
2%
22°C
$135 交易量
8%
23°C
$5 交易量
30%
24°C
$100 交易量
19%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
28%
28°C
$51 交易量
24%
29°C
$144 交易量
23%
30°C
$5 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$5 交易量
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and favor overnight lows near 26–27°C per PAGASA guidance. Official outlooks list highs near 30°C and lows of 26–27°C under these conditions, consistent with recent observed minima of 26–27.6°C at PAGASA stations. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical lows 24–26°C) support the clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, while lower odds for 24°C or below reflect the insulating effect of humidity and urban heat. Minor forecast shifts in rainfall timing or wind could nudge the exact minimum within this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$580结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and favor overnight lows near 26–27°C per PAGASA guidance. Official outlooks list highs near 30°C and lows of 26–27°C under these conditions, consistent with recent observed minima of 26–27.6°C at PAGASA stations. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical lows 24–26°C) support the clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, while lower odds for 24°C or below reflect the insulating effect of humidity and urban heat. Minor forecast shifts in rainfall timing or wind could nudge the exact minimum within this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$580结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETTrader sentiment for Manila's August 26 minimum temperature centers on the southwest monsoon (habagat) driving persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and favor overnight lows near 26–27°C per PAGASA guidance. Official outlooks list highs near 30°C and lows of 26–27°C under these conditions, consistent with recent observed minima of 26–27.6°C at PAGASA stations. Model consensus and historical August baselines (typical lows 24–26°C) support the clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, while lower odds for 24°C or below reflect the insulating effect of humidity and urban heat. Minor forecast shifts in rainfall timing or wind could nudge the exact minimum within this narrow range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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