Official Russian Hydrometeorological Center forecasts indicate Moscow nighttime temperatures will reach a low of 10°C on August 27 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–8 m/s and no precipitation, aligning closely with observed cooling trends from daytime highs near 17–21°C. Multiple meteorological models show consistent boundary-layer cooling overnight, supported by current surface observations in the low-to-mid teens Celsius and climatological context where late-August minima average around 11°C. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects this strong model agreement and official guidance from the primary national forecasting agency. Realistic challenges include localized measurement variations at official stations, unexpected cloud cover increasing overnight lows, or minor forecast revisions from updated model runs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日莫斯科最低气温？
8月27日莫斯科最低气温？
10°C 100.0%
9°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
$2,612 交易量
$2,612 交易量
2026-08-27
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
9°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
$2,612 交易量
$2,612 交易量
2026-08-27
6°C or below
$374 交易量
No
7°C
$147 交易量
No
8°C
$172 交易量
No
9°C
$92 交易量
No
10°C
$1,185 交易量
Yes
11°C
$207 交易量
No
12°C
$198 交易量
No
13°C
$40 交易量
No
14°C
$79 交易量
No
15°C
$40 交易量
No
16°C or higher
$78 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Russian Hydrometeorological Center forecasts indicate Moscow nighttime temperatures will reach a low of 10°C on August 27 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–8 m/s and no precipitation, aligning closely with observed cooling trends from daytime highs near 17–21°C. Multiple meteorological models show consistent boundary-layer cooling overnight, supported by current surface observations in the low-to-mid teens Celsius and climatological context where late-August minima average around 11°C. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects this strong model agreement and official guidance from the primary national forecasting agency. Realistic challenges include localized measurement variations at official stations, unexpected cloud cover increasing overnight lows, or minor forecast revisions from updated model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,612结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Russian Hydrometeorological Center forecasts indicate Moscow nighttime temperatures will reach a low of 10°C on August 27 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–8 m/s and no precipitation, aligning closely with observed cooling trends from daytime highs near 17–21°C. Multiple meteorological models show consistent boundary-layer cooling overnight, supported by current surface observations in the low-to-mid teens Celsius and climatological context where late-August minima average around 11°C. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects this strong model agreement and official guidance from the primary national forecasting agency. Realistic challenges include localized measurement variations at official stations, unexpected cloud cover increasing overnight lows, or minor forecast revisions from updated model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,612结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Russian Hydrometeorological Center forecasts indicate Moscow nighttime temperatures will reach a low of 10°C on August 27 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–8 m/s and no precipitation, aligning closely with observed cooling trends from daytime highs near 17–21°C. Multiple meteorological models show consistent boundary-layer cooling overnight, supported by current surface observations in the low-to-mid teens Celsius and climatological context where late-August minima average around 11°C. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects this strong model agreement and official guidance from the primary national forecasting agency. Realistic challenges include localized measurement variations at official stations, unexpected cloud cover increasing overnight lows, or minor forecast revisions from updated model runs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题