Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest cooling trend for Madrid on August 27 driven by increased southwesterly flow, elevated cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance overnight radiative cooling compared to the prior warm spell. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered near 16–18 °C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds, as dew points around 14–15 °C and light winds reduce the likelihood of strong surface decoupling. Lower outcomes near 14 °C would require clearer skies and calmer conditions allowing greater heat loss, while warmer readings above 18 °C hinge on persistent cloud cover or delayed frontal passage. Updated model runs overnight and early-morning observations will provide the key signals for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日马德里最低气温？
8月27日马德里最低气温？
17°C 31%
16°C 25%
18°C 24%
14°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
13°C or below
1%
14°C
22%
15°C
13%
16°C
25%
17°C
31%
18°C
24%
19°C
10%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
15%
17°C 31%
16°C 25%
18°C 24%
14°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
13°C or below
$145 交易量
1%
14°C
$5 交易量
22%
15°C
$30 交易量
13%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$0 交易量
31%
18°C
$0 交易量
24%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$0 交易量
9%
21°C
$65 交易量
2%
22°C
$5 交易量
8%
23°C or higher
$135 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest cooling trend for Madrid on August 27 driven by increased southwesterly flow, elevated cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance overnight radiative cooling compared to the prior warm spell. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered near 16–18 °C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds, as dew points around 14–15 °C and light winds reduce the likelihood of strong surface decoupling. Lower outcomes near 14 °C would require clearer skies and calmer conditions allowing greater heat loss, while warmer readings above 18 °C hinge on persistent cloud cover or delayed frontal passage. Updated model runs overnight and early-morning observations will provide the key signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$385结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest cooling trend for Madrid on August 27 driven by increased southwesterly flow, elevated cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance overnight radiative cooling compared to the prior warm spell. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered near 16–18 °C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds, as dew points around 14–15 °C and light winds reduce the likelihood of strong surface decoupling. Lower outcomes near 14 °C would require clearer skies and calmer conditions allowing greater heat loss, while warmer readings above 18 °C hinge on persistent cloud cover or delayed frontal passage. Updated model runs overnight and early-morning observations will provide the key signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$385结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest cooling trend for Madrid on August 27 driven by increased southwesterly flow, elevated cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating and enhance overnight radiative cooling compared to the prior warm spell. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered near 16–18 °C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds, as dew points around 14–15 °C and light winds reduce the likelihood of strong surface decoupling. Lower outcomes near 14 °C would require clearer skies and calmer conditions allowing greater heat loss, while warmer readings above 18 °C hinge on persistent cloud cover or delayed frontal passage. Updated model runs overnight and early-morning observations will provide the key signals for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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