Recent model consensus from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF points to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on August 28, enabling strong overnight radiative cooling that should drive minimum temperatures well below the late-August average of 18°C. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 8–14°C, with several runs indicating potential readings near or below 9°C during the pre-dawn hours when surface heat loss peaks under high pressure. This setup, following a cooler-than-normal period in late August 2026, has elevated market-implied odds for the coldest thresholds while compressing probabilities for outcomes above 15°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日马德里最低气温？
8月28日马德里最低气温？
9°C or below 58%
12°C 52%
11°C 40%
13°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
9°C or below
58%
10°C
32%
11°C
40%
12°C
52%
13°C
38%
14°C
32%
15°C
32%
16°C
32%
17°C
26%
18°C
19%
19°C or higher
9%
9°C or below 58%
12°C 52%
11°C 40%
13°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
9°C or below
$5 交易量
58%
10°C
$0 交易量
32%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
52%
13°C
$0 交易量
38%
14°C
$0 交易量
32%
15°C
$0 交易量
32%
16°C
$0 交易量
32%
17°C
$0 交易量
26%
18°C
$5 交易量
19%
19°C or higher
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF points to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on August 28, enabling strong overnight radiative cooling that should drive minimum temperatures well below the late-August average of 18°C. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 8–14°C, with several runs indicating potential readings near or below 9°C during the pre-dawn hours when surface heat loss peaks under high pressure. This setup, following a cooler-than-normal period in late August 2026, has elevated market-implied odds for the coldest thresholds while compressing probabilities for outcomes above 15°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF points to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on August 28, enabling strong overnight radiative cooling that should drive minimum temperatures well below the late-August average of 18°C. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 8–14°C, with several runs indicating potential readings near or below 9°C during the pre-dawn hours when surface heat loss peaks under high pressure. This setup, following a cooler-than-normal period in late August 2026, has elevated market-implied odds for the coldest thresholds while compressing probabilities for outcomes above 15°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF points to clear skies and light winds over Madrid on August 28, enabling strong overnight radiative cooling that should drive minimum temperatures well below the late-August average of 18°C. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 8–14°C, with several runs indicating potential readings near or below 9°C during the pre-dawn hours when surface heat loss peaks under high pressure. This setup, following a cooler-than-normal period in late August 2026, has elevated market-implied odds for the coldest thresholds while compressing probabilities for outcomes above 15°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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