Forecast consensus from multiple models points to sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds driving Seattle's highest temperature on August 25 into the low-to-mid 80s°F. This represents a modest warm anomaly relative to the long-term average high near 76°F, supported by northerly flow giving way to warmer southerly advection and minimal cloud cover. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 82–85°F outcomes, reflecting agreement across official guidance on peak afternoon readings while allowing for minor downward adjustments from patchy smoke or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on precise maximum observations, with any unexpected strengthening of onshore flow potentially capping values nearer the lower end of that range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日西雅图的最高温度?
84-85°F 35%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 11%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 35%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 11%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from multiple models points to sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds driving Seattle's highest temperature on August 25 into the low-to-mid 80s°F. This represents a modest warm anomaly relative to the long-term average high near 76°F, supported by northerly flow giving way to warmer southerly advection and minimal cloud cover. Trader positioning clusters tightly on 82–85°F outcomes, reflecting agreement across official guidance on peak afternoon readings while allowing for minor downward adjustments from patchy smoke or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on precise maximum observations, with any unexpected strengthening of onshore flow potentially capping values nearer the lower end of that range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题