**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a sunny Monday, August 24, with highs in the mid-to-upper 70s under building high pressure and northerly winds of 10–15 mph.** These conditions favor efficient daytime heating without the marine layer or clouds that suppressed temperatures on Sunday. Seattle’s climatological average high for the date is 75.8°F, and current runs show no thermal trough or offshore flow strong enough to push readings into the low 80s. Trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (41.5 % implied probability) alongside notable support for 76–77°F and 80–81°F reflects this narrow forecast range and typical uncertainty in exact maximum timing or microclimate differences between Sea-Tac and urban stations. With skies expected to remain clear through peak heating hours, the market-implied distribution closely tracks the consensus guidance issued in the past 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日西雅图的最高温度?
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 7%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 7%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a sunny Monday, August 24, with highs in the mid-to-upper 70s under building high pressure and northerly winds of 10–15 mph.** These conditions favor efficient daytime heating without the marine layer or clouds that suppressed temperatures on Sunday. Seattle’s climatological average high for the date is 75.8°F, and current runs show no thermal trough or offshore flow strong enough to push readings into the low 80s. Trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin (41.5 % implied probability) alongside notable support for 76–77°F and 80–81°F reflects this narrow forecast range and typical uncertainty in exact maximum timing or microclimate differences between Sea-Tac and urban stations. With skies expected to remain clear through peak heating hours, the market-implied distribution closely tracks the consensus guidance issued in the past 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题