Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate that increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms will limit solar heating in Tokyo on August 28, following warmer conditions earlier in the week. This setup favors daily maxima clustered around 29–32°C, with market-implied probabilities highest for 30°C and 31°C due to uncertainty in exact cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and steering flow. High humidity and light variable winds further moderate peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative effects, while model consensus shows modest cooling from recent 33°C+ readings. Updated numerical guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these narrow differences.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日东京气温最高？
8月28日东京气温最高？
30°C 32%
31°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
32%
31°C
29%
32°C
15%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
26°C or below
$103 交易量
1%
27°C
$31 交易量
2%
28°C
$37 交易量
4%
29°C
$26 交易量
14%
30°C
$0 交易量
32%
31°C
$47 交易量
29%
32°C
$171 交易量
15%
33°C
$44 交易量
6%
34°C
$5 交易量
3%
35°C
$31 交易量
2%
36°C or higher
$494 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate that increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms will limit solar heating in Tokyo on August 28, following warmer conditions earlier in the week. This setup favors daily maxima clustered around 29–32°C, with market-implied probabilities highest for 30°C and 31°C due to uncertainty in exact cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and steering flow. High humidity and light variable winds further moderate peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative effects, while model consensus shows modest cooling from recent 33°C+ readings. Updated numerical guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these narrow differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$989结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate that increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms will limit solar heating in Tokyo on August 28, following warmer conditions earlier in the week. This setup favors daily maxima clustered around 29–32°C, with market-implied probabilities highest for 30°C and 31°C due to uncertainty in exact cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and steering flow. High humidity and light variable winds further moderate peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative effects, while model consensus shows modest cooling from recent 33°C+ readings. Updated numerical guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these narrow differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$989结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate that increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms will limit solar heating in Tokyo on August 28, following warmer conditions earlier in the week. This setup favors daily maxima clustered around 29–32°C, with market-implied probabilities highest for 30°C and 31°C due to uncertainty in exact cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and steering flow. High humidity and light variable winds further moderate peaks through reduced insolation and evaporative effects, while model consensus shows modest cooling from recent 33°C+ readings. Updated numerical guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine these narrow differences.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题