Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Tokyo's overnight low on August 28 likely settling near 25–26°C amid high humidity above 70%, widespread cloud cover, and light showers that limit radiational cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon residual, with dew points holding in the low 20s°C and minimal wind, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier periods. Historical August overnight averages hover around 23°C, but current model consensus and observed trends this week support the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日东京最低气温？
8月28日东京最低气温？
22°C or below 3%
24°C 2%
23°C 1%
27°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
22°C or below
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
33%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 3%
24°C 2%
23°C 1%
27°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
22°C or below
$935 交易量
3%
23°C
$961 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,013 交易量
2%
25°C
$771 交易量
33%
26°C
$2,339 交易量
50%
27°C
$430 交易量
<1%
28°C
$268 交易量
<1%
29°C
$925 交易量
<1%
30°C
$328 交易量
<1%
31°C
$202 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$352 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Tokyo's overnight low on August 28 likely settling near 25–26°C amid high humidity above 70%, widespread cloud cover, and light showers that limit radiational cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon residual, with dew points holding in the low 20s°C and minimal wind, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier periods. Historical August overnight averages hover around 23°C, but current model consensus and observed trends this week support the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$8,524结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Tokyo's overnight low on August 28 likely settling near 25–26°C amid high humidity above 70%, widespread cloud cover, and light showers that limit radiational cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon residual, with dew points holding in the low 20s°C and minimal wind, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier periods. Historical August overnight averages hover around 23°C, but current model consensus and observed trends this week support the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,524结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models show Tokyo's overnight low on August 28 likely settling near 25–26°C amid high humidity above 70%, widespread cloud cover, and light showers that limit radiational cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon residual, with dew points holding in the low 20s°C and minimal wind, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier periods. Historical August overnight averages hover around 23°C, but current model consensus and observed trends this week support the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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