Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a low in the mid-to-upper 60s for Chicago on August 29, with southerly winds of 5–15 mph advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak disturbance. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and dew points near 65°F further cap the drop. Historical August 29 lows average 64.6°F, but forecast spreads between 67°F and the low 70s create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 60–69°F bins. Any earlier clearing or stronger outflow could push readings toward 60–63°F, whereas sustained clouds and warm advection would favor 66–69°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日芝加哥最低气温？
8月29日芝加哥最低气温？
60-61°F 35%
62-63°F 35%
64-65°F 35%
66-67°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
55°F or below
21%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
35%
62-63°F
35%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 35%
62-63°F 35%
64-65°F 35%
66-67°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
55°F or below
$147 交易量
21%
56-57°F
$67 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$85 交易量
4%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
35%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
35%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
35%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
26%
68-69°F
$257 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$222 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$63 交易量
<1%
74°F or higher
$94 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a low in the mid-to-upper 60s for Chicago on August 29, with southerly winds of 5–15 mph advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak disturbance. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and dew points near 65°F further cap the drop. Historical August 29 lows average 64.6°F, but forecast spreads between 67°F and the low 70s create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 60–69°F bins. Any earlier clearing or stronger outflow could push readings toward 60–63°F, whereas sustained clouds and warm advection would favor 66–69°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$936结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a low in the mid-to-upper 60s for Chicago on August 29, with southerly winds of 5–15 mph advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak disturbance. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and dew points near 65°F further cap the drop. Historical August 29 lows average 64.6°F, but forecast spreads between 67°F and the low 70s create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 60–69°F bins. Any earlier clearing or stronger outflow could push readings toward 60–63°F, whereas sustained clouds and warm advection would favor 66–69°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$936结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a low in the mid-to-upper 60s for Chicago on August 29, with southerly winds of 5–15 mph advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak disturbance. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and dew points near 65°F further cap the drop. Historical August 29 lows average 64.6°F, but forecast spreads between 67°F and the low 70s create the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 60–69°F bins. Any earlier clearing or stronger outflow could push readings toward 60–63°F, whereas sustained clouds and warm advection would favor 66–69°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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