Current National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 29 point to a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, driving market consensus toward the 80-83°F bins. Southerly flow advects warmer air while increasing low-level moisture, yet partial cloud cover and moderating lake influences cap intensification below the upper 80s projected for Sunday. Model agreement across recent runs supports this range, with limited variability from steering patterns or diurnal heating. Traders price the tight probabilities around these thresholds because official guidance shows minimal downside risk from cooler outbreaks and only modest upside if skies clear more than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日芝加哥的最高温度？
8月29日芝加哥的最高温度？
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
75°F或以下
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
75°F或以下
$57 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$36 交易量
8%
78-79°F
$87 交易量
22%
80-81°F
$76 交易量
36%
82-83°F
$306 交易量
26%
84-85°F
$9 交易量
9%
86-87°F
$52 交易量
4%
88-89°F
$37 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$120 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$333 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$333 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 29 point to a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, driving market consensus toward the 80-83°F bins. Southerly flow advects warmer air while increasing low-level moisture, yet partial cloud cover and moderating lake influences cap intensification below the upper 80s projected for Sunday. Model agreement across recent runs supports this range, with limited variability from steering patterns or diurnal heating. Traders price the tight probabilities around these thresholds because official guidance shows minimal downside risk from cooler outbreaks and only modest upside if skies clear more than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,400结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 29 point to a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, driving market consensus toward the 80-83°F bins. Southerly flow advects warmer air while increasing low-level moisture, yet partial cloud cover and moderating lake influences cap intensification below the upper 80s projected for Sunday. Model agreement across recent runs supports this range, with limited variability from steering patterns or diurnal heating. Traders price the tight probabilities around these thresholds because official guidance shows minimal downside risk from cooler outbreaks and only modest upside if skies clear more than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,400结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 29 point to a high near 82°F under partly sunny skies and south-southwest winds of 5-10 mph, driving market consensus toward the 80-83°F bins. Southerly flow advects warmer air while increasing low-level moisture, yet partial cloud cover and moderating lake influences cap intensification below the upper 80s projected for Sunday. Model agreement across recent runs supports this range, with limited variability from steering patterns or diurnal heating. Traders price the tight probabilities around these thresholds because official guidance shows minimal downside risk from cooler outbreaks and only modest upside if skies clear more than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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