Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirm a maximum of 73°F on August 27, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on the 72-73°F bracket. Persistent marine layer influence, northwest winds gusting to 20+ mph, and coastal fog suppressed daytime heating below the 74°F normal, consistent with late-August climatology shaped by Pacific upwelling. Hourly METAR and NWS climatological reports show the peak occurring mid-afternoon before temperatures fell, with no model or observational revisions altering this outcome. Only an extreme localized heat spike or measurement error at the official station could have shifted the result outside this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日旧金山气温最高？
8月27日旧金山气温最高？
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$44,515 交易量
$44,515 交易量
2026-08-27
65°F或以下
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84°F或更高
否
72-73°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$44,515 交易量
$44,515 交易量
2026-08-27
65°F或以下
$1,217 交易量
否
66-67°F
$3,103 交易量
否
68-69°F
$3,963 交易量
否
70-71°F
$7,114 交易量
否
72-73°F
$9,215 交易量
是
74-75°F
$8,417 交易量
否
76-77°F
$5,364 交易量
否
78-79°F
$2,690 交易量
否
80-81°F
$1,745 交易量
否
82-83°F
$1,381 交易量
否
84°F或更高
$307 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirm a maximum of 73°F on August 27, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on the 72-73°F bracket. Persistent marine layer influence, northwest winds gusting to 20+ mph, and coastal fog suppressed daytime heating below the 74°F normal, consistent with late-August climatology shaped by Pacific upwelling. Hourly METAR and NWS climatological reports show the peak occurring mid-afternoon before temperatures fell, with no model or observational revisions altering this outcome. Only an extreme localized heat spike or measurement error at the official station could have shifted the result outside this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$44,515结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirm a maximum of 73°F on August 27, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on the 72-73°F bracket. Persistent marine layer influence, northwest winds gusting to 20+ mph, and coastal fog suppressed daytime heating below the 74°F normal, consistent with late-August climatology shaped by Pacific upwelling. Hourly METAR and NWS climatological reports show the peak occurring mid-afternoon before temperatures fell, with no model or observational revisions altering this outcome. Only an extreme localized heat spike or measurement error at the official station could have shifted the result outside this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,515结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirm a maximum of 73°F on August 27, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on the 72-73°F bracket. Persistent marine layer influence, northwest winds gusting to 20+ mph, and coastal fog suppressed daytime heating below the 74°F normal, consistent with late-August climatology shaped by Pacific upwelling. Hourly METAR and NWS climatological reports show the peak occurring mid-afternoon before temperatures fell, with no model or observational revisions altering this outcome. Only an extreme localized heat spike or measurement error at the official station could have shifted the result outside this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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