Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 22–24°C for Mexico City on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around 23°C (37.5% implied probability) and 24°C (29.5%), as persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico limit solar heating during the peak rainy season. Southeasterly winds, typical convective activity, and the urban setting further moderate extremes, while model consensus and historical August baselines support limited upside beyond 24°C absent clearer skies. Traders weigh these factors against minor forecast revisions expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日墨西哥城气温最高?
23°C 38%
24°C 30%
22°C 19%
25°C 13%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
19%
23°C
38%
24°C
30%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C或更高
1%
23°C 38%
24°C 30%
22°C 19%
25°C 13%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
19%
23°C
38%
24°C
30%
25°C
13%
26°C
2%
27°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 22–24°C for Mexico City on August 29 under mostly cloudy skies with afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This range aligns with the market's tight clustering around 23°C (37.5% implied probability) and 24°C (29.5%), as persistent cloud cover and precipitation in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico limit solar heating during the peak rainy season. Southeasterly winds, typical convective activity, and the urban setting further moderate extremes, while model consensus and historical August baselines support limited upside beyond 24°C absent clearer skies. Traders weigh these factors against minor forecast revisions expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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