**Close market odds between 13°C and 14°C reflect uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and rainfall in Mexico City's high-elevation valley.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and station observations placed the minimum near 13–15°C at the airport reference point, with forecasts noting fresh to cool morning conditions amid bands of low clouds, light winds, and scattered showers that limited clear-sky heat loss. Historical August lows average around 14°C, but variable precipitation timing and urban versus peripheral station differences create narrow resolution margins. Traders appear to be balancing the latest model consensus and preliminary reports against the possibility of slightly stronger cooling in clearer pockets, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied ahead of final verified data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城8月29日的最低温度?
14°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
9°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
$1,221 交易量
$1,221 交易量
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
14°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
9°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
$1,221 交易量
$1,221 交易量
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Close market odds between 13°C and 14°C reflect uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under persistent cloud cover and rainfall in Mexico City's high-elevation valley.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and station observations placed the minimum near 13–15°C at the airport reference point, with forecasts noting fresh to cool morning conditions amid bands of low clouds, light winds, and scattered showers that limited clear-sky heat loss. Historical August lows average around 14°C, but variable precipitation timing and urban versus peripheral station differences create narrow resolution margins. Traders appear to be balancing the latest model consensus and preliminary reports against the possibility of slightly stronger cooling in clearer pockets, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied ahead of final verified data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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