Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and international ensembles show a consensus high of 26–28°C for Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure around 1016–1018 hPa, which favors modest daytime heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. This places the most likely peak near or just above the long-term August average of roughly 23°C while remaining well below historical extremes for the date. Low precipitation odds (under 5% in most runs) and moderate humidity support efficient radiational warming during peak insolation hours, narrowing the range and concentrating trader-implied probabilities on 26–28°C outcomes. Final readings will depend on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing in the final model updates before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日慕尼黑的最高温度?
27°C 42%
26°C 28%
28°C 19%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
42%
28°C
19%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 42%
26°C 28%
28°C 19%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
42%
28°C
19%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and international ensembles show a consensus high of 26–28°C for Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and high pressure around 1016–1018 hPa, which favors modest daytime heating without strong advection of warmer air masses. This places the most likely peak near or just above the long-term August average of roughly 23°C while remaining well below historical extremes for the date. Low precipitation odds (under 5% in most runs) and moderate humidity support efficient radiational warming during peak insolation hours, narrowing the range and concentrating trader-implied probabilities on 26–28°C outcomes. Final readings will depend on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing in the final model updates before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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