**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on August 29, 2026, under clear skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity that moderates radiational cooling, though calm winds overnight could allow slightly greater temperature drops than average. The historical average low for the date is 71.7°F (1991–2020 climatology), with the all-time record low at 65°F. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 68–71°F buckets, reflecting trader assessment of near- or slightly below-average outcomes driven by model consensus on clear, stable conditions rather than significant cooling from fronts or clouds. Recent observations early on August 29 showed temperatures near 70–74°F, supporting potential for a minimum in the upper 60s to low 70s if cooling exceeds the base forecast. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours. Resolution will depend on the official minimum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport or equivalent station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日奥斯汀的最低温度?
67°F or below 2%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$3,469 交易量
$3,469 交易量
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
67°F or below 2%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$3,469 交易量
$3,469 交易量
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on August 29, 2026, under clear skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity that moderates radiational cooling, though calm winds overnight could allow slightly greater temperature drops than average. The historical average low for the date is 71.7°F (1991–2020 climatology), with the all-time record low at 65°F. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 68–71°F buckets, reflecting trader assessment of near- or slightly below-average outcomes driven by model consensus on clear, stable conditions rather than significant cooling from fronts or clouds. Recent observations early on August 29 showed temperatures near 70–74°F, supporting potential for a minimum in the upper 60s to low 70s if cooling exceeds the base forecast. No major shifts in steering patterns or moisture have altered the outlook in the past 24–48 hours. Resolution will depend on the official minimum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport or equivalent station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题