**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a high near 99°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and a persistent subtropical ridge.** This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover, supporting air temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s. Dew points near 65–70°F and heat indices exceeding 104–106°F reflect the typical late-August moisture profile, yet the lack of stronger low-level mixing or subsidence warming keeps extremes in check. The near-even split between 98–99°F and 100–101°F markets reflects model-to-model differences in peak insolation and boundary-layer details rather than any major pattern shift, with resolution hinging on the exact afternoon maximum recorded at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日奥斯汀的最高温度?
98-99°F 47%
100-101°F 46%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 5%
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91华氏度
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
47%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 47%
100-101°F 46%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 5%
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91华氏度
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
47%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models project a high near 99°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and a persistent subtropical ridge.** This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover, supporting air temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s. Dew points near 65–70°F and heat indices exceeding 104–106°F reflect the typical late-August moisture profile, yet the lack of stronger low-level mixing or subsidence warming keeps extremes in check. The near-even split between 98–99°F and 100–101°F markets reflects model-to-model differences in peak insolation and boundary-layer details rather than any major pattern shift, with resolution hinging on the exact afternoon maximum recorded at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题