Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and meteorological models project overnight lows for Austin on August 28 in the mid to upper 70s, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow under high pressure with minimal cooling overnight. Dew points near 70–74°F and light winds limit radiative cooling, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where average lows hover around 72°F but recent conditions have trended warmer. This scientific consensus underpins the dominant 76–77°F market-implied odds, while the 21% probability attached to 69°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from any unforecasted convective activity or measurement variations at official stations. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日奥斯汀的最低温度？
8月28日奥斯汀的最低温度？
76-77°F 84%
69°F or below 39%
74-75°F 12%
72-73°F 8%
$565 交易量
$565 交易量
2026-08-28
69°F or below
39%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
84%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 84%
69°F or below 39%
74-75°F 12%
72-73°F 8%
$565 交易量
$565 交易量
2026-08-28
69°F or below
$48 交易量
39%
70-71°F
$11 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$71 交易量
8%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
12%
76-77°F
$45 交易量
84%
78-79°F
$94 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$66 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$63 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$56 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$55 交易量
<1%
88°F or higher
$55 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and meteorological models project overnight lows for Austin on August 28 in the mid to upper 70s, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow under high pressure with minimal cooling overnight. Dew points near 70–74°F and light winds limit radiative cooling, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where average lows hover around 72°F but recent conditions have trended warmer. This scientific consensus underpins the dominant 76–77°F market-implied odds, while the 21% probability attached to 69°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from any unforecasted convective activity or measurement variations at official stations. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$565结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and meteorological models project overnight lows for Austin on August 28 in the mid to upper 70s, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow under high pressure with minimal cooling overnight. Dew points near 70–74°F and light winds limit radiative cooling, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where average lows hover around 72°F but recent conditions have trended warmer. This scientific consensus underpins the dominant 76–77°F market-implied odds, while the 21% probability attached to 69°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from any unforecasted convective activity or measurement variations at official stations. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$565结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and meteorological models project overnight lows for Austin on August 28 in the mid to upper 70s, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow under high pressure with minimal cooling overnight. Dew points near 70–74°F and light winds limit radiative cooling, consistent with climatological patterns for late August where average lows hover around 72°F but recent conditions have trended warmer. This scientific consensus underpins the dominant 76–77°F market-implied odds, while the 21% probability attached to 69°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from any unforecasted convective activity or measurement variations at official stations. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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