Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Austin under persistent high pressure with clear skies, light southerly winds, and high dew points, supporting overnight lows in the mid-70s for August 30. This setup limits radiative cooling despite typical late-summer conditions, aligning with the 71.6°F climatological average low while recent analogs hover near 73–76°F. Trader consensus clusters on 72–75°F bins due to minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind, with lower probabilities for cooler outcomes requiring stronger cooling or a shift in steering patterns. Higher temperatures remain unlikely absent unexpected cloud or wind changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日奥斯汀最低气温?
67°F或以下 52%
72-73°F 33%
74-75°F 32%
68-69°F 26%
67°F或以下
52%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
5%
86°F或更高
1%
67°F或以下 52%
72-73°F 33%
74-75°F 32%
68-69°F 26%
67°F或以下
52%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
5%
86°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Austin under persistent high pressure with clear skies, light southerly winds, and high dew points, supporting overnight lows in the mid-70s for August 30. This setup limits radiative cooling despite typical late-summer conditions, aligning with the 71.6°F climatological average low while recent analogs hover near 73–76°F. Trader consensus clusters on 72–75°F bins due to minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind, with lower probabilities for cooler outcomes requiring stronger cooling or a shift in steering patterns. Higher temperatures remain unlikely absent unexpected cloud or wind changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题