Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 74°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, establishing the leading 74-75°F outcome at 55.5% market-implied probability. Persistent high pressure and an unusually warm Pacific Ocean sustained elevated overnight temperatures amid a regional heatwave, limiting radiative cooling and pushing the daily low well above the 1991-2020 normal of 65°F. Recent model runs and surface observations from the preceding days confirmed this pattern, with trader consensus reflecting the verified data rather than earlier cooler forecasts. Resolution hinges on the final NOAA station report, which aligns closely with these readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日洛杉矶最低温度？
8月29日洛杉矶最低温度？
70-71°F 9%
66-67°F 7%
68-69°F 2%
65°F或以下 <1%
$744 交易量
$744 交易量
2026-08-29
65°F或以下
1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
62%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 9%
66-67°F 7%
68-69°F 2%
65°F或以下 <1%
$744 交易量
$744 交易量
2026-08-29
65°F或以下
$27 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$105 交易量
7%
68-69°F
$43 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$41 交易量
9%
72-73°F
$77 交易量
38%
74-75°F
$219 交易量
62%
76-77°F
$94 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$25 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$69 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$47 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 74°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, establishing the leading 74-75°F outcome at 55.5% market-implied probability. Persistent high pressure and an unusually warm Pacific Ocean sustained elevated overnight temperatures amid a regional heatwave, limiting radiative cooling and pushing the daily low well above the 1991-2020 normal of 65°F. Recent model runs and surface observations from the preceding days confirmed this pattern, with trader consensus reflecting the verified data rather than earlier cooler forecasts. Resolution hinges on the final NOAA station report, which aligns closely with these readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$744结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 74°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, establishing the leading 74-75°F outcome at 55.5% market-implied probability. Persistent high pressure and an unusually warm Pacific Ocean sustained elevated overnight temperatures amid a regional heatwave, limiting radiative cooling and pushing the daily low well above the 1991-2020 normal of 65°F. Recent model runs and surface observations from the preceding days confirmed this pattern, with trader consensus reflecting the verified data rather than earlier cooler forecasts. Resolution hinges on the final NOAA station report, which aligns closely with these readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$744结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 74°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 29, 2026, establishing the leading 74-75°F outcome at 55.5% market-implied probability. Persistent high pressure and an unusually warm Pacific Ocean sustained elevated overnight temperatures amid a regional heatwave, limiting radiative cooling and pushing the daily low well above the 1991-2020 normal of 65°F. Recent model runs and surface observations from the preceding days confirmed this pattern, with trader consensus reflecting the verified data rather than earlier cooler forecasts. Resolution hinges on the final NOAA station report, which aligns closely with these readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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