**Official observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 56°F on August 29, 2026, exactly matching the long-term normal and aligning with the dominant 56-57°F market bin at 66.5% implied probability.** Typical late-summer marine layer conditions, including overnight fog and haze with moderate westerly winds, maintained radiative cooling near the seasonal baseline without significant deviation from climatology. Pre-event forecasts from NOAA and local models consistently projected mid-50s lows based on persistent onshore flow and average dew points, limiting upside for cooler bins like 54-55°F (23.5%) or warmer outcomes. The close agreement between model consensus, historical analogs, and the verified reading reinforced trader positioning around the normal range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日旧金山最低气温？
8月29日旧金山最低气温？
54-55°F 47%
52-53°F 26%
49华氏度或以下 <1%
50-51°F <1%
$1,624 交易量
$1,624 交易量
2026-08-29
49华氏度或以下
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
47%
56-57°F
67%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F或更高
<1%
54-55°F 47%
52-53°F 26%
49华氏度或以下 <1%
50-51°F <1%
$1,624 交易量
$1,624 交易量
2026-08-29
49华氏度或以下
$129 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$121 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$51 交易量
26%
54-55°F
$32 交易量
47%
56-57°F
$439 交易量
67%
58-59°F
$200 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$167 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$103 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$45 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$292 交易量
<1%
68°F或更高
$45 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 56°F on August 29, 2026, exactly matching the long-term normal and aligning with the dominant 56-57°F market bin at 66.5% implied probability.** Typical late-summer marine layer conditions, including overnight fog and haze with moderate westerly winds, maintained radiative cooling near the seasonal baseline without significant deviation from climatology. Pre-event forecasts from NOAA and local models consistently projected mid-50s lows based on persistent onshore flow and average dew points, limiting upside for cooler bins like 54-55°F (23.5%) or warmer outcomes. The close agreement between model consensus, historical analogs, and the verified reading reinforced trader positioning around the normal range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,624结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 56°F on August 29, 2026, exactly matching the long-term normal and aligning with the dominant 56-57°F market bin at 66.5% implied probability.** Typical late-summer marine layer conditions, including overnight fog and haze with moderate westerly winds, maintained radiative cooling near the seasonal baseline without significant deviation from climatology. Pre-event forecasts from NOAA and local models consistently projected mid-50s lows based on persistent onshore flow and average dew points, limiting upside for cooler bins like 54-55°F (23.5%) or warmer outcomes. The close agreement between model consensus, historical analogs, and the verified reading reinforced trader positioning around the normal range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,624结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**Official observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 56°F on August 29, 2026, exactly matching the long-term normal and aligning with the dominant 56-57°F market bin at 66.5% implied probability.** Typical late-summer marine layer conditions, including overnight fog and haze with moderate westerly winds, maintained radiative cooling near the seasonal baseline without significant deviation from climatology. Pre-event forecasts from NOAA and local models consistently projected mid-50s lows based on persistent onshore flow and average dew points, limiting upside for cooler bins like 54-55°F (23.5%) or warmer outcomes. The close agreement between model consensus, historical analogs, and the verified reading reinforced trader positioning around the normal range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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