Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a San Francisco overnight minimum near 55–56 °F on August 30, driven by a persistent marine layer, light-to-moderate onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that maintains adjacent Pacific waters around 55–58 °F. These conditions produce a strong temperature inversion that limits radiative cooling while stratus and southwest winds of 10–15 mph promote mixing. Trader consensus clusters on the 56–59 °F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, exact wind timing, or brief clearing can shift the recorded low by 1–3 °F at the SFO station. Historical August 30 averages near 56 °F reinforce this narrow range, with probabilities reflecting model spread rather than major forecast shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日旧金山最低气温？
8月30日旧金山最低气温？
54-55°F 52%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
56-57°F 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
47°F或以下
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
23%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66°F或更高
15%
54-55°F 52%
62-63°F 49%
64-65°F 49%
56-57°F 34%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
47°F或以下
$263 交易量
1%
48-49°F
$31 交易量
2%
50-51°F
$5 交易量
21%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
23%
54-55°F
$64 交易量
28%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
34%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
29%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
26%
62-63°F
$20 交易量
49%
64-65°F
$75 交易量
49%
66°F或更高
$10 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a San Francisco overnight minimum near 55–56 °F on August 30, driven by a persistent marine layer, light-to-moderate onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that maintains adjacent Pacific waters around 55–58 °F. These conditions produce a strong temperature inversion that limits radiative cooling while stratus and southwest winds of 10–15 mph promote mixing. Trader consensus clusters on the 56–59 °F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, exact wind timing, or brief clearing can shift the recorded low by 1–3 °F at the SFO station. Historical August 30 averages near 56 °F reinforce this narrow range, with probabilities reflecting model spread rather than major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$469结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a San Francisco overnight minimum near 55–56 °F on August 30, driven by a persistent marine layer, light-to-moderate onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that maintains adjacent Pacific waters around 55–58 °F. These conditions produce a strong temperature inversion that limits radiative cooling while stratus and southwest winds of 10–15 mph promote mixing. Trader consensus clusters on the 56–59 °F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, exact wind timing, or brief clearing can shift the recorded low by 1–3 °F at the SFO station. Historical August 30 averages near 56 °F reinforce this narrow range, with probabilities reflecting model spread rather than major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$469结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a San Francisco overnight minimum near 55–56 °F on August 30, driven by a persistent marine layer, light-to-moderate onshore flow, and coastal upwelling that maintains adjacent Pacific waters around 55–58 °F. These conditions produce a strong temperature inversion that limits radiative cooling while stratus and southwest winds of 10–15 mph promote mixing. Trader consensus clusters on the 56–59 °F bins because small differences in marine-layer depth, exact wind timing, or brief clearing can shift the recorded low by 1–3 °F at the SFO station. Historical August 30 averages near 56 °F reinforce this narrow range, with probabilities reflecting model spread rather than major forecast shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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