Recent forecast updates from Environment Canada and numerical models show partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight, creating uncertainty around the exact minimum temperature as Toronto records its daily low. Clearer conditions would enhance radiative cooling through reduced cloud cover and greater longwave radiation loss to space, potentially pushing readings toward 12°C, while increased humidity or residual cloudiness could limit that drop to 13–14°C. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and Toronto's urban heat island effect further narrow the range by retaining warmth near the surface. Historical late-August averages near 16°C provide context, but trader consensus around these close outcomes reflects ongoing model disagreements on boundary-layer mixing and dew-point trends ahead of official station verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日多伦多最低气温?
11°C 50%
13°C 39%
12°C 38%
9°C或以下 <1%
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
50%
12°C
38%
13°C
39%
14°C
47%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
11°C 50%
13°C 39%
12°C 38%
9°C或以下 <1%
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
50%
12°C
38%
13°C
39%
14°C
47%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from Environment Canada and numerical models show partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight, creating uncertainty around the exact minimum temperature as Toronto records its daily low. Clearer conditions would enhance radiative cooling through reduced cloud cover and greater longwave radiation loss to space, potentially pushing readings toward 12°C, while increased humidity or residual cloudiness could limit that drop to 13–14°C. Lake Ontario's moderating influence and Toronto's urban heat island effect further narrow the range by retaining warmth near the surface. Historical late-August averages near 16°C provide context, but trader consensus around these close outcomes reflects ongoing model disagreements on boundary-layer mixing and dew-point trends ahead of official station verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题