Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models centers on overnight lows of 21–23°C for Tokyo on August 29, driven by a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that suppresses radiative cooling and advects slightly cooler maritime air. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 23°C minima and aligns with observed cooling trends in the past 24–48 hours as the frontal boundary lingers over eastern Japan. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with resolution criteria based on official JMA station readings at Tokyo, though final adjustments remain possible from tonight’s model runs before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日东京最低气温？
8月29日东京最低气温？
22°C 47%
21°C 38%
24°C 10%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
38%
22°C
47%
23°C
8%
24°C
11%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
21°C 38%
24°C 10%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
19°C or below
$138 交易量
2%
20°C
$11 交易量
2%
21°C
$178 交易量
38%
22°C
$124 交易量
47%
23°C
$420 交易量
8%
24°C
$83 交易量
11%
25°C
$166 交易量
4%
26°C
$188 交易量
1%
27°C
$288 交易量
<1%
28°C
$105 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$169 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models centers on overnight lows of 21–23°C for Tokyo on August 29, driven by a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that suppresses radiative cooling and advects slightly cooler maritime air. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 23°C minima and aligns with observed cooling trends in the past 24–48 hours as the frontal boundary lingers over eastern Japan. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with resolution criteria based on official JMA station readings at Tokyo, though final adjustments remain possible from tonight’s model runs before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,869结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models centers on overnight lows of 21–23°C for Tokyo on August 29, driven by a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that suppresses radiative cooling and advects slightly cooler maritime air. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 23°C minima and aligns with observed cooling trends in the past 24–48 hours as the frontal boundary lingers over eastern Japan. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with resolution criteria based on official JMA station readings at Tokyo, though final adjustments remain possible from tonight’s model runs before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,869结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models centers on overnight lows of 21–23°C for Tokyo on August 29, driven by a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow that suppresses radiative cooling and advects slightly cooler maritime air. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 23°C minima and aligns with observed cooling trends in the past 24–48 hours as the frontal boundary lingers over eastern Japan. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with resolution criteria based on official JMA station readings at Tokyo, though final adjustments remain possible from tonight’s model runs before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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