Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Tokyo on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling following the 19.6–20°C low observed on August 29. This aligns with the Japan Meteorological Agency's regional patterns and ensemble guidance showing suppressed diurnal ranges under humid, overcast conditions typical of late-summer maritime air masses. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 20°C reflects this model agreement and historical analogs for similar setups. Clearer skies or a shift to warmer southerly flow could push the minimum above 21°C, though current data make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日东京最低气温？
8月30日东京最低气温？
20°C 98%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
最新
$13,275 交易量
最新
$13,275 交易量
2026-08-30
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
98%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 98%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
最新
$13,275 交易量
最新
$13,275 交易量
2026-08-30
17°C or below
$684 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,011 交易量
<1%
19°C
$938 交易量
1%
20°C
$1,359 交易量
98%
21°C
$2,710 交易量
1%
22°C
$3,699 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,629 交易量
<1%
24°C
$392 交易量
<1%
25°C
$351 交易量
<1%
26°C
$247 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$252 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Tokyo on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling following the 19.6–20°C low observed on August 29. This aligns with the Japan Meteorological Agency's regional patterns and ensemble guidance showing suppressed diurnal ranges under humid, overcast conditions typical of late-summer maritime air masses. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 20°C reflects this model agreement and historical analogs for similar setups. Clearer skies or a shift to warmer southerly flow could push the minimum above 21°C, though current data make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$13,275结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Tokyo on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling following the 19.6–20°C low observed on August 29. This aligns with the Japan Meteorological Agency's regional patterns and ensemble guidance showing suppressed diurnal ranges under humid, overcast conditions typical of late-summer maritime air masses. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 20°C reflects this model agreement and historical analogs for similar setups. Clearer skies or a shift to warmer southerly flow could push the minimum above 21°C, though current data make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,275结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Tokyo on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling following the 19.6–20°C low observed on August 29. This aligns with the Japan Meteorological Agency's regional patterns and ensemble guidance showing suppressed diurnal ranges under humid, overcast conditions typical of late-summer maritime air masses. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for 20°C reflects this model agreement and historical analogs for similar setups. Clearer skies or a shift to warmer southerly flow could push the minimum above 21°C, though current data make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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