Recent forecast models show increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances for Tokyo on August 27, moderating daytime highs from the hotter conditions expected the prior day and pulling market-implied odds toward 30–32°C as the most likely outcomes. A developing weather system is forecast to enhance humidity and trigger afternoon thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and surface warming per guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency. Historical late-August averages near 31–32°C provide context, though model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in short-range precipitation timing and intensity that can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will further clarify steering patterns and moisture advection affecting the urban heat island.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日东京气温最高？
8月27日东京气温最高？
32°C 27%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
21%
31°C
26%
32°C
27%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 27%
31°C 26%
30°C 21%
33°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
27°C or below
$173 交易量
1%
28°C
$60 交易量
2%
29°C
$351 交易量
4%
30°C
$231 交易量
21%
31°C
$215 交易量
26%
32°C
$283 交易量
27%
33°C
$20 交易量
13%
34°C
$280 交易量
5%
35°C
$77 交易量
2%
36°C
$972 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$221 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models show increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances for Tokyo on August 27, moderating daytime highs from the hotter conditions expected the prior day and pulling market-implied odds toward 30–32°C as the most likely outcomes. A developing weather system is forecast to enhance humidity and trigger afternoon thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and surface warming per guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency. Historical late-August averages near 31–32°C provide context, though model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in short-range precipitation timing and intensity that can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will further clarify steering patterns and moisture advection affecting the urban heat island.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,883结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models show increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances for Tokyo on August 27, moderating daytime highs from the hotter conditions expected the prior day and pulling market-implied odds toward 30–32°C as the most likely outcomes. A developing weather system is forecast to enhance humidity and trigger afternoon thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and surface warming per guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency. Historical late-August averages near 31–32°C provide context, though model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in short-range precipitation timing and intensity that can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will further clarify steering patterns and moisture advection affecting the urban heat island.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,883结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models show increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances for Tokyo on August 27, moderating daytime highs from the hotter conditions expected the prior day and pulling market-implied odds toward 30–32°C as the most likely outcomes. A developing weather system is forecast to enhance humidity and trigger afternoon thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and surface warming per guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency. Historical late-August averages near 31–32°C provide context, though model spreads reflect typical uncertainties in short-range precipitation timing and intensity that can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will further clarify steering patterns and moisture advection affecting the urban heat island.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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