Recent atmospheric conditions favor a return to typical late-summer moderation in Miami after the mid-August heat dome that produced record 100°F readings on August 18. Official NWS observations show highs near 93–94°F on August 21–23 amid lingering ridging, yet forecast guidance indicates increasing Atlantic sea-breeze influence and scattered thunderstorms on August 24–25 that should limit peak heating through enhanced cloud cover and moisture. Climatological normals place the daily maximum near 90–91°F, with model consensus supporting 90–93°F as the most probable range; higher outcomes would require renewed suppression of the sea breeze or stronger subsidence, while lower readings remain possible if convection develops earlier than expected. Traders are weighting these short-term forecast shifts alongside historical August variability when pricing the 92–93°F bin as the modal outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日迈阿密气温最高？
8月25日迈阿密气温最高？
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 6%
94-95°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F或更高
<1%
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 6%
94-95°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
81°F or below
$205 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$442 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$219 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$247 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$549 交易量
6%
90-91°F
$685 交易量
42%
92-93°F
$1,262 交易量
51%
94-95°F
$300 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$182 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$117 交易量
<1%
100°F或更高
$189 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions favor a return to typical late-summer moderation in Miami after the mid-August heat dome that produced record 100°F readings on August 18. Official NWS observations show highs near 93–94°F on August 21–23 amid lingering ridging, yet forecast guidance indicates increasing Atlantic sea-breeze influence and scattered thunderstorms on August 24–25 that should limit peak heating through enhanced cloud cover and moisture. Climatological normals place the daily maximum near 90–91°F, with model consensus supporting 90–93°F as the most probable range; higher outcomes would require renewed suppression of the sea breeze or stronger subsidence, while lower readings remain possible if convection develops earlier than expected. Traders are weighting these short-term forecast shifts alongside historical August variability when pricing the 92–93°F bin as the modal outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$4,398结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions favor a return to typical late-summer moderation in Miami after the mid-August heat dome that produced record 100°F readings on August 18. Official NWS observations show highs near 93–94°F on August 21–23 amid lingering ridging, yet forecast guidance indicates increasing Atlantic sea-breeze influence and scattered thunderstorms on August 24–25 that should limit peak heating through enhanced cloud cover and moisture. Climatological normals place the daily maximum near 90–91°F, with model consensus supporting 90–93°F as the most probable range; higher outcomes would require renewed suppression of the sea breeze or stronger subsidence, while lower readings remain possible if convection develops earlier than expected. Traders are weighting these short-term forecast shifts alongside historical August variability when pricing the 92–93°F bin as the modal outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,398结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent atmospheric conditions favor a return to typical late-summer moderation in Miami after the mid-August heat dome that produced record 100°F readings on August 18. Official NWS observations show highs near 93–94°F on August 21–23 amid lingering ridging, yet forecast guidance indicates increasing Atlantic sea-breeze influence and scattered thunderstorms on August 24–25 that should limit peak heating through enhanced cloud cover and moisture. Climatological normals place the daily maximum near 90–91°F, with model consensus supporting 90–93°F as the most probable range; higher outcomes would require renewed suppression of the sea breeze or stronger subsidence, while lower readings remain possible if convection develops earlier than expected. Traders are weighting these short-term forecast shifts alongside historical August variability when pricing the 92–93°F bin as the modal outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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