Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance point to a minimum temperature of 79–81°F in Miami on August 24, aligning with the market’s two leading bins. Persistent high dew points near 76–79°F and light southeast winds will limit nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the overnight low several degrees above the late-August climatological average of 77.6°F. Scattered showers expected during the day and evening are unlikely to alter the minimum, which typically occurs near dawn. With only modest model spread and no strong frontal passage or drier air mass in sight, traders are concentrating probability in the narrow 78–81°F window rather than extremes. Official readings from Miami International Airport will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日迈阿密最低气温?
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 11%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 11%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance point to a minimum temperature of 79–81°F in Miami on August 24, aligning with the market’s two leading bins. Persistent high dew points near 76–79°F and light southeast winds will limit nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping the overnight low several degrees above the late-August climatological average of 77.6°F. Scattered showers expected during the day and evening are unlikely to alter the minimum, which typically occurs near dawn. With only modest model spread and no strong frontal passage or drier air mass in sight, traders are concentrating probability in the narrow 78–81°F window rather than extremes. Official readings from Miami International Airport will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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