Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a shift toward cloudier, unsettled conditions over Tokyo on August 27, with scattered showers and reduced insolation limiting daytime heating and moderating overnight radiative cooling. This follows several days of clear, hot weather with daytime highs near 34–35 °C and overnight lows of 25–27 °C. The expected increase in low-level moisture and possible weak frontal influence should keep the minimum temperature centered near 25–27 °C, consistent with historical August climatology of roughly 24 °C. Market-implied odds clustered around 26 °C and 27 °C reflect trader weighting of these model consensus trends and the narrow range of plausible outcomes given typical urban heat-island buffering.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日东京最低气温？
8月27日东京最低气温？
26°C 30%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
16%
26°C
30%
27°C
29%
28°C
11%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
27°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
21°C or below
$113 交易量
1%
22°C
$13 交易量
1%
23°C
$71 交易量
1%
24°C
$71 交易量
1%
25°C
$534 交易量
16%
26°C
$1,306 交易量
30%
27°C
$513 交易量
29%
28°C
$288 交易量
11%
29°C
$149 交易量
<1%
30°C
$139 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$144 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a shift toward cloudier, unsettled conditions over Tokyo on August 27, with scattered showers and reduced insolation limiting daytime heating and moderating overnight radiative cooling. This follows several days of clear, hot weather with daytime highs near 34–35 °C and overnight lows of 25–27 °C. The expected increase in low-level moisture and possible weak frontal influence should keep the minimum temperature centered near 25–27 °C, consistent with historical August climatology of roughly 24 °C. Market-implied odds clustered around 26 °C and 27 °C reflect trader weighting of these model consensus trends and the narrow range of plausible outcomes given typical urban heat-island buffering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,341结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a shift toward cloudier, unsettled conditions over Tokyo on August 27, with scattered showers and reduced insolation limiting daytime heating and moderating overnight radiative cooling. This follows several days of clear, hot weather with daytime highs near 34–35 °C and overnight lows of 25–27 °C. The expected increase in low-level moisture and possible weak frontal influence should keep the minimum temperature centered near 25–27 °C, consistent with historical August climatology of roughly 24 °C. Market-implied odds clustered around 26 °C and 27 °C reflect trader weighting of these model consensus trends and the narrow range of plausible outcomes given typical urban heat-island buffering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,341结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate a shift toward cloudier, unsettled conditions over Tokyo on August 27, with scattered showers and reduced insolation limiting daytime heating and moderating overnight radiative cooling. This follows several days of clear, hot weather with daytime highs near 34–35 °C and overnight lows of 25–27 °C. The expected increase in low-level moisture and possible weak frontal influence should keep the minimum temperature centered near 25–27 °C, consistent with historical August climatology of roughly 24 °C. Market-implied odds clustered around 26 °C and 27 °C reflect trader weighting of these model consensus trends and the narrow range of plausible outcomes given typical urban heat-island buffering.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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