**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid closely matched probabilities.** Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 25–26°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are supporting overnight lows in this range rather than sharper drops. Recent model runs show consistency across guidance, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and any scattered shower timing create the narrow spread between 26°C and 28°C. Historical late-August climatology for Tokyo features typical minima around 23–26°C, but the current pattern of above-average humidity and weak pressure gradients favors milder values. Updated model guidance and Japan Meteorological Agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日东京气温最低？
8月26日东京气温最低？
28°C 45%
27°C 37%
30°C 14%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
7%
25°C
10%
26°C
11%
27°C
37%
28°C
45%
29°C
8%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 45%
27°C 37%
30°C 14%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
$35 交易量
2%
23°C
$5 交易量
10%
24°C
$5 交易量
7%
25°C
$20 交易量
10%
26°C
$0 交易量
11%
27°C
$33 交易量
37%
28°C
$44 交易量
45%
29°C
$70 交易量
8%
30°C
$5 交易量
14%
31°C
$5 交易量
7%
32°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid closely matched probabilities.** Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 25–26°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are supporting overnight lows in this range rather than sharper drops. Recent model runs show consistency across guidance, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and any scattered shower timing create the narrow spread between 26°C and 28°C. Historical late-August climatology for Tokyo features typical minima around 23–26°C, but the current pattern of above-average humidity and weak pressure gradients favors milder values. Updated model guidance and Japan Meteorological Agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$222结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid closely matched probabilities.** Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 25–26°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are supporting overnight lows in this range rather than sharper drops. Recent model runs show consistency across guidance, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and any scattered shower timing create the narrow spread between 26°C and 28°C. Historical late-August climatology for Tokyo features typical minima around 23–26°C, but the current pattern of above-average humidity and weak pressure gradients favors milder values. Updated model guidance and Japan Meteorological Agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$222结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid closely matched probabilities.** Persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 25–26°C, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are supporting overnight lows in this range rather than sharper drops. Recent model runs show consistency across guidance, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and any scattered shower timing create the narrow spread between 26°C and 28°C. Historical late-August climatology for Tokyo features typical minima around 23–26°C, but the current pattern of above-average humidity and weak pressure gradients favors milder values. Updated model guidance and Japan Meteorological Agency briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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