Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system over central Anatolia, driving clear skies and light northeasterly flow that supports a daytime maximum of 31°C in Ankara on August 25. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak near this threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-August climatology for the region’s continental climate where solar heating under minimal cloud cover typically yields highs of 30–32°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 76% implied probability for 31°C aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C capture minor uncertainties in local microclimate variations or model spread. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日安卡拉的最高温度?
31°C 77%
30°C 12%
32°C 6%
29°C 3%
$18,476 交易量
$18,476 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
77%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 77%
30°C 12%
32°C 6%
29°C 3%
$18,476 交易量
$18,476 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
77%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system over central Anatolia, driving clear skies and light northeasterly flow that supports a daytime maximum of 31°C in Ankara on August 25. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak near this threshold without exceeding it, consistent with late-August climatology for the region’s continental climate where solar heating under minimal cloud cover typically yields highs of 30–32°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 76% implied probability for 31°C aligns with this narrow forecast range, while lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C capture minor uncertainties in local microclimate variations or model spread. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题