Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under northerly winds of 20–35 knots gusting higher, combined with variable cloud cover and light rain from a passing front. These conditions limit clear-sky heat loss while the city's coastal setting and strong advection from the Tasman Sea keep surface readings from dropping sharply below climatological August averages of 6–9 °C. Forecasters show the overnight low centering near 9–11 °C, yet small shifts in wind timing, dew-point depression, or residual cloud can easily move the recorded minimum by 1–3 °C—precisely the narrow band separating the market's closely matched 10 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes. Traders therefore price the tight spread as a reflection of genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8月28日惠灵顿的最低温度？
10°C 93%
9°C 5.0%
11°C 2%
7°C或更低 <1%
$13,809 交易量
$13,809 交易量
2026-08-28
7°C或更低
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
7%
10°C
93%
11°C
2%
12°C
47%
13°C
54%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
10°C 93%
9°C 5.0%
11°C 2%
7°C或更低 <1%
$13,809 交易量
$13,809 交易量
2026-08-28
7°C或更低
$587 交易量
<1%
8°C
$156 交易量
<1%
9°C
$192 交易量
7%
10°C
$132 交易量
93%
11°C
$194 交易量
2%
12°C
$18 交易量
47%
13°C
$1,904 交易量
54%
14°C
$9,869 交易量
<1%
15°C
$298 交易量
<1%
16°C
$210 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$249 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under northerly winds of 20–35 knots gusting higher, combined with variable cloud cover and light rain from a passing front. These conditions limit clear-sky heat loss while the city's coastal setting and strong advection from the Tasman Sea keep surface readings from dropping sharply below climatological August averages of 6–9 °C. Forecasters show the overnight low centering near 9–11 °C, yet small shifts in wind timing, dew-point depression, or residual cloud can easily move the recorded minimum by 1–3 °C—precisely the narrow band separating the market's closely matched 10 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes. Traders therefore price the tight spread as a reflection of genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$13,809结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 28 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under northerly winds of 20–35 knots gusting higher, combined with variable cloud cover and light rain from a passing front. These conditions limit clear-sky heat loss while the city's coastal setting and strong advection from the Tasman Sea keep surface readings from dropping sharply below climatological August averages of 6–9 °C. Forecasters show the overnight low centering near 9–11 °C, yet small shifts in wind timing, dew-point depression, or residual cloud can easily move the recorded minimum by 1–3 °C—precisely the narrow band separating the market's closely matched 10 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes. Traders therefore price the tight spread as a reflection of genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,809结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETWellington's minimum temperature on August 28 hinges on overnight radiative cooling under northerly winds of 20–35 knots gusting higher, combined with variable cloud cover and light rain from a passing front. These conditions limit clear-sky heat loss while the city's coastal setting and strong advection from the Tasman Sea keep surface readings from dropping sharply below climatological August averages of 6–9 °C. Forecasters show the overnight low centering near 9–11 °C, yet small shifts in wind timing, dew-point depression, or residual cloud can easily move the recorded minimum by 1–3 °C—precisely the narrow band separating the market's closely matched 10 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes. Traders therefore price the tight spread as a reflection of genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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