Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a 30°C maximum on August 31 under a broad low-pressure trough producing intermittent showers and thunderstorms, with easterly to northeasterly winds strengthening later. This pattern limits daytime insolation and aligns with the market's tight clustering around 29–31°C outcomes. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce peak heating relative to typical late-August climatology of 31–32°C, while steering currents and residual tropical moisture introduce variability in storm timing and intensity. Model runs continue to show modest spread on exact maxima depending on convective development, with updated guidance expected ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日香港气温最高？
8月31日香港气温最高？
30°C 33%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
29°C 30%
31°C 19%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
24°C or below
$51 交易量
<1%
25°C
$47 交易量
<1%
26°C
$213 交易量
1%
27°C
$48 交易量
3%
28°C
$300 交易量
14%
29°C
$1,234 交易量
30%
30°C
$183 交易量
33%
31°C
$340 交易量
19%
32°C
$57 交易量
4%
33°C
$32 交易量
3%
34°C or higher
$134 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a 30°C maximum on August 31 under a broad low-pressure trough producing intermittent showers and thunderstorms, with easterly to northeasterly winds strengthening later. This pattern limits daytime insolation and aligns with the market's tight clustering around 29–31°C outcomes. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce peak heating relative to typical late-August climatology of 31–32°C, while steering currents and residual tropical moisture introduce variability in storm timing and intensity. Model runs continue to show modest spread on exact maxima depending on convective development, with updated guidance expected ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,585结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a 30°C maximum on August 31 under a broad low-pressure trough producing intermittent showers and thunderstorms, with easterly to northeasterly winds strengthening later. This pattern limits daytime insolation and aligns with the market's tight clustering around 29–31°C outcomes. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce peak heating relative to typical late-August climatology of 31–32°C, while steering currents and residual tropical moisture introduce variability in storm timing and intensity. Model runs continue to show modest spread on exact maxima depending on convective development, with updated guidance expected ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,585结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a 30°C maximum on August 31 under a broad low-pressure trough producing intermittent showers and thunderstorms, with easterly to northeasterly winds strengthening later. This pattern limits daytime insolation and aligns with the market's tight clustering around 29–31°C outcomes. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce peak heating relative to typical late-August climatology of 31–32°C, while steering currents and residual tropical moisture introduce variability in storm timing and intensity. Model runs continue to show modest spread on exact maxima depending on convective development, with updated guidance expected ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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