**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a nighttime minimum near 23°C in Wuhan on August 29, 2026, driven by northerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and residual influence from upstream weather systems moderating temperatures.** This aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 23°C (97.6%), reflecting trader consensus on official observational data and model agreement rather than any single outlier projection. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 30–32°C with partly cloudy to overcast conditions and light northerly flow, limiting daytime heating while promoting gradual evening cooling; historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the mid-20s°C, and the current pattern sits slightly below that baseline due to enhanced cloudiness and wind. Key upcoming resolution factors include the final official minimum recorded at the primary Wuhan meteorological station before midnight local time. Realistic challenges to the 23°C outcome would require unexpected clear skies enhancing radiative cooling below forecast levels or a late wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though model consensus currently shows low probability for such deviations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日武汉最低气温?
23°C 97.8%
22°C or below 3.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,300 交易量
$3,300 交易量
22°C or below
3%
23°C
98%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 97.8%
22°C or below 3.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,300 交易量
$3,300 交易量
22°C or below
3%
23°C
98%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a nighttime minimum near 23°C in Wuhan on August 29, 2026, driven by northerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and residual influence from upstream weather systems moderating temperatures.** This aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 23°C (97.6%), reflecting trader consensus on official observational data and model agreement rather than any single outlier projection. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 30–32°C with partly cloudy to overcast conditions and light northerly flow, limiting daytime heating while promoting gradual evening cooling; historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows in the mid-20s°C, and the current pattern sits slightly below that baseline due to enhanced cloudiness and wind. Key upcoming resolution factors include the final official minimum recorded at the primary Wuhan meteorological station before midnight local time. Realistic challenges to the 23°C outcome would require unexpected clear skies enhancing radiative cooling below forecast levels or a late wind shift introducing warmer air masses, though model consensus currently shows low probability for such deviations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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