Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a northerly airflow will cool Istanbul after peak warmth on August 27, producing a maximum temperature on the 29th most likely in the 24–26°C range amid partly cloudy skies and possible light showers. Trader consensus clusters around 25°C (39%) and 24°C (33.5%) because model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainties in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service aligns with this mid-20s outcome, consistent with typical late-August variability but cooler than the month’s climatological average near 29°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月29日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
25°C 39%
24°C 34%
26°C 12%
23°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
34%
25°C
39%
26°C
18%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
4%
25°C 39%
24°C 34%
26°C 12%
23°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
19°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C
$5 交易量
3%
22°C
$5 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
10%
24°C
$12 交易量
34%
25°C
$41 交易量
39%
26°C
$222 交易量
18%
27°C
$12 交易量
8%
28°C
$5 交易量
5%
29°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a northerly airflow will cool Istanbul after peak warmth on August 27, producing a maximum temperature on the 29th most likely in the 24–26°C range amid partly cloudy skies and possible light showers. Trader consensus clusters around 25°C (39%) and 24°C (33.5%) because model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainties in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service aligns with this mid-20s outcome, consistent with typical late-August variability but cooler than the month’s climatological average near 29°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$313结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a northerly airflow will cool Istanbul after peak warmth on August 27, producing a maximum temperature on the 29th most likely in the 24–26°C range amid partly cloudy skies and possible light showers. Trader consensus clusters around 25°C (39%) and 24°C (33.5%) because model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainties in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service aligns with this mid-20s outcome, consistent with typical late-August variability but cooler than the month’s climatological average near 29°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$313结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a northerly airflow will cool Istanbul after peak warmth on August 27, producing a maximum temperature on the 29th most likely in the 24–26°C range amid partly cloudy skies and possible light showers. Trader consensus clusters around 25°C (39%) and 24°C (33.5%) because model runs show modest spread driven by uncertainties in cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance from the Turkish Meteorological Service aligns with this mid-20s outcome, consistent with typical late-August variability but cooler than the month’s climatological average near 29°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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