Current official forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Munich on August 27 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. Afternoon peak readings near 31°C reflect strong insolation, moderate humidity around 40–50%, and surface pressures near 1014 hPa, with limited cloud cover allowing efficient daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C and 31°C as the most likely outcomes. Historical August climatology in southern Bavaria supports highs in this narrow band absent unusual synoptic shifts, while the proximity to resolution leaves little room for major model revisions before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日慕尼黑的最高温度?
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 19%
32°C 8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 27%
29°C 19%
32°C 8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
19%
30°C
40%
31°C
27%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current official forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Munich on August 27 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. Afternoon peak readings near 31°C reflect strong insolation, moderate humidity around 40–50%, and surface pressures near 1014 hPa, with limited cloud cover allowing efficient daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30°C and 31°C as the most likely outcomes. Historical August climatology in southern Bavaria supports highs in this narrow band absent unusual synoptic shifts, while the proximity to resolution leaves little room for major model revisions before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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