Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a mild night for Munich on August 27, with minimum temperatures most likely between 15–18 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–14 °C because ensemble spreads still allow for modest model differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, which can trim 1–3 °C from the nocturnal low at city stations versus airports. Clearer conditions or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in low-level humidity or calm periods could push readings toward the lower probabilities currently priced near 23 %. Updated ECMWF and ICON runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow this uncertainty before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日慕尼黑最低气温?
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
17°C 48%
18°C 31%
10°C or below
15%
11°C
20%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
48%
18°C
31%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
14%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
17°C 48%
18°C 31%
10°C or below
15%
11°C
20%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
48%
18°C
31%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a mild night for Munich on August 27, with minimum temperatures most likely between 15–18 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–14 °C because ensemble spreads still allow for modest model differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, which can trim 1–3 °C from the nocturnal low at city stations versus airports. Clearer conditions or stronger winds would favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in low-level humidity or calm periods could push readings toward the lower probabilities currently priced near 23 %. Updated ECMWF and ICON runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow this uncertainty before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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