Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low near 17°C in Beijing on August 30 under clear skies and light northerly winds that promote radiational cooling after daytime highs around 30–32°C. Market odds cluster tightly around 16–18°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and urban heat island effects, with 17°C currently carrying the highest implied probability. Historical late-August normals near 20°C and recent cooling after mid-month warmth further anchor trader focus on the precise threshold, while final model updates overnight could shift outcomes if dew points or cloud cover deviate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日北京最低气温？
8月30日北京最低气温？
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
17°C 35%
16°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
12%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
27%
17°C
35%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
12%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
5%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
17°C 35%
16°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
$5 交易量
12%
14°C
$0 交易量
50%
15°C
$0 交易量
50%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
35%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$244 交易量
12%
22°C
$5 交易量
16%
23°C or higher
$5 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low near 17°C in Beijing on August 30 under clear skies and light northerly winds that promote radiational cooling after daytime highs around 30–32°C. Market odds cluster tightly around 16–18°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and urban heat island effects, with 17°C currently carrying the highest implied probability. Historical late-August normals near 20°C and recent cooling after mid-month warmth further anchor trader focus on the precise threshold, while final model updates overnight could shift outcomes if dew points or cloud cover deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$259结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low near 17°C in Beijing on August 30 under clear skies and light northerly winds that promote radiational cooling after daytime highs around 30–32°C. Market odds cluster tightly around 16–18°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and urban heat island effects, with 17°C currently carrying the highest implied probability. Historical late-August normals near 20°C and recent cooling after mid-month warmth further anchor trader focus on the precise threshold, while final model updates overnight could shift outcomes if dew points or cloud cover deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$259结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely overnight low near 17°C in Beijing on August 30 under clear skies and light northerly winds that promote radiational cooling after daytime highs around 30–32°C. Market odds cluster tightly around 16–18°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and urban heat island effects, with 17°C currently carrying the highest implied probability. Historical late-August normals near 20°C and recent cooling after mid-month warmth further anchor trader focus on the precise threshold, while final model updates overnight could shift outcomes if dew points or cloud cover deviate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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