Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from New Zealand meteorological sources point to a daily minimum of 12°C in Wellington on August 26, driven by persistent mild northwesterly airflow and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where average August lows hover near 8–10°C but recent days have trended warmer amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. Trader positioning at 91.5% implied probability reflects high confidence in this outcome given stable model runs. A shift to stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 10–11°C, though current conditions make such a drop unlikely before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8月26日惠灵顿的最低温度？
12°C 100.0%
9°C 1.0%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
$2,821 交易量
$2,821 交易量
2026-08-26
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
12°C 100.0%
9°C 1.0%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
$2,821 交易量
$2,821 交易量
2026-08-26
8°C或以下
$40 交易量
否
9°C
$55 交易量
否
10°C
$36 交易量
否
11°C
$51 交易量
否
12°C
$90 交易量
是
13°C
$326 交易量
否
14°C
$395 交易量
否
15°C
$200 交易量
否
16°C
$1,011 交易量
否
17°C
$165 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$452 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from New Zealand meteorological sources point to a daily minimum of 12°C in Wellington on August 26, driven by persistent mild northwesterly airflow and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where average August lows hover near 8–10°C but recent days have trended warmer amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. Trader positioning at 91.5% implied probability reflects high confidence in this outcome given stable model runs. A shift to stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 10–11°C, though current conditions make such a drop unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,821结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from New Zealand meteorological sources point to a daily minimum of 12°C in Wellington on August 26, driven by persistent mild northwesterly airflow and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where average August lows hover near 8–10°C but recent days have trended warmer amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. Trader positioning at 91.5% implied probability reflects high confidence in this outcome given stable model runs. A shift to stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 10–11°C, though current conditions make such a drop unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,821结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from New Zealand meteorological sources point to a daily minimum of 12°C in Wellington on August 26, driven by persistent mild northwesterly airflow and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where average August lows hover near 8–10°C but recent days have trended warmer amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. Trader positioning at 91.5% implied probability reflects high confidence in this outcome given stable model runs. A shift to stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 10–11°C, though current conditions make such a drop unlikely before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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