Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, positioning the minimum temperature near 13–14 °C early on August 30. Model consensus from sources including GFS and local guidance shows dew points holding around 12–13 °C, limiting further drops while allowing the mercury to reach the mid-50s °F range before dawn. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 11 °C, 12 °C, and 14 °C outcomes, as current runs show limited potential for stronger cooling or warmer advection. Late-August climatology typically features overnight lows near 14–15 °C, so the implied probabilities reflect expectations of near-normal or slightly cooler conditions without significant model divergence or incoming frontal activity. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日华沙最低气温？
8月30日华沙最低气温？
11°C 43%
16°C 30%
14°C 30%
12°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
9°C or below
6%
10°C
15%
11°C
43%
12°C
29%
13°C
22%
14°C
30%
15°C
25%
16°C
30%
17°C
13%
18°C
12%
19°C or higher
3%
11°C 43%
16°C 30%
14°C 30%
12°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
9°C or below
$130 交易量
6%
10°C
$0 交易量
15%
11°C
$0 交易量
43%
12°C
$0 交易量
29%
13°C
$0 交易量
22%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$0 交易量
30%
17°C
$0 交易量
13%
18°C
$135 交易量
12%
19°C or higher
$57 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, positioning the minimum temperature near 13–14 °C early on August 30. Model consensus from sources including GFS and local guidance shows dew points holding around 12–13 °C, limiting further drops while allowing the mercury to reach the mid-50s °F range before dawn. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 11 °C, 12 °C, and 14 °C outcomes, as current runs show limited potential for stronger cooling or warmer advection. Late-August climatology typically features overnight lows near 14–15 °C, so the implied probabilities reflect expectations of near-normal or slightly cooler conditions without significant model divergence or incoming frontal activity. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$322结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, positioning the minimum temperature near 13–14 °C early on August 30. Model consensus from sources including GFS and local guidance shows dew points holding around 12–13 °C, limiting further drops while allowing the mercury to reach the mid-50s °F range before dawn. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 11 °C, 12 °C, and 14 °C outcomes, as current runs show limited potential for stronger cooling or warmer advection. Late-August climatology typically features overnight lows near 14–15 °C, so the implied probabilities reflect expectations of near-normal or slightly cooler conditions without significant model divergence or incoming frontal activity. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$322结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, positioning the minimum temperature near 13–14 °C early on August 30. Model consensus from sources including GFS and local guidance shows dew points holding around 12–13 °C, limiting further drops while allowing the mercury to reach the mid-50s °F range before dawn. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 11 °C, 12 °C, and 14 °C outcomes, as current runs show limited potential for stronger cooling or warmer advection. Late-August climatology typically features overnight lows near 14–15 °C, so the implied probabilities reflect expectations of near-normal or slightly cooler conditions without significant model divergence or incoming frontal activity. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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