Recent short-range forecasts for Chengdu show overnight lows on August 31 clustered near 20–23 °C, with model spreads and local variations creating the tight market clustering around 19–22 °C. Nocturnal radiative cooling under partly clear skies favors the lower end of that range, while residual humidity and light winds from recent monsoon-influenced conditions limit further drops. Historical late-August minima average near 22 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current guidance. Key upcoming updates from CMA and global ensembles will refine cloud-cover and dew-point projections that directly affect minimum-temperature outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日成都最低气温?
19°C 78%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
16°C or below 47%
16°C or below
47%
17°C
41%
18°C
15%
19°C
78%
20°C
34%
21°C
28%
22°C
32%
23°C
24%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
2%
19°C 78%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
16°C or below 47%
16°C or below
47%
17°C
41%
18°C
15%
19°C
78%
20°C
34%
21°C
28%
22°C
32%
23°C
24%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts for Chengdu show overnight lows on August 31 clustered near 20–23 °C, with model spreads and local variations creating the tight market clustering around 19–22 °C. Nocturnal radiative cooling under partly clear skies favors the lower end of that range, while residual humidity and light winds from recent monsoon-influenced conditions limit further drops. Historical late-August minima average near 22 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current guidance. Key upcoming updates from CMA and global ensembles will refine cloud-cover and dew-point projections that directly affect minimum-temperature outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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