Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely range from 11–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, following a stable high-pressure pattern after the mid-August cold front. Radiative cooling overnight under limited cloud cover and weak advection of cooler maritime air are the dominant drivers, though small variations in wind mixing or dew-point depression could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across the 8–12°C range because ensemble spreads in short-range guidance create genuine uncertainty near typical winter minima, with no strong consensus yet on whether conditions will trend slightly cooler or milder than the current central tendency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日开普敦最低气温?
18°C或更高 54%
14°C 47%
8°C或以下 29%
9°C 28%
8°C或以下
29%
9°C
28%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
47%
15°C
2%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C或更高
54%
18°C或更高 54%
14°C 47%
8°C或以下 29%
9°C 28%
8°C或以下
29%
9°C
28%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
47%
15°C
2%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C或更高
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely range from 11–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds, following a stable high-pressure pattern after the mid-August cold front. Radiative cooling overnight under limited cloud cover and weak advection of cooler maritime air are the dominant drivers, though small variations in wind mixing or dew-point depression could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across the 8–12°C range because ensemble spreads in short-range guidance create genuine uncertainty near typical winter minima, with no strong consensus yet on whether conditions will trend slightly cooler or milder than the current central tendency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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