Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high dew points near 27°C associated with subtropical moisture have limited overnight radiative cooling across Shanghai, aligning official minimum temperature observations and forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration around this threshold for August 28. High humidity levels above 85% and easterly winds have further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows typically range 26–28°C. Market-implied odds of 99.1% for 27°C reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling and shift the recorded minimum lower, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日上海最低气温？
8月28日上海最低气温？
27°C 99.0%
26°C 1.4%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$18,775 交易量
$18,775 交易量
2026-08-28
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
11%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.0%
26°C 1.4%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$18,775 交易量
$18,775 交易量
2026-08-28
23°C or below
$2,534 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,449 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,548 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,352 交易量
11%
27°C
$3,641 交易量
99%
28°C
$2,297 交易量
<1%
29°C
$899 交易量
<1%
30°C
$353 交易量
<1%
31°C
$231 交易量
<1%
32°C
$202 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$270 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high dew points near 27°C associated with subtropical moisture have limited overnight radiative cooling across Shanghai, aligning official minimum temperature observations and forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration around this threshold for August 28. High humidity levels above 85% and easterly winds have further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows typically range 26–28°C. Market-implied odds of 99.1% for 27°C reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling and shift the recorded minimum lower, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$18,775结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high dew points near 27°C associated with subtropical moisture have limited overnight radiative cooling across Shanghai, aligning official minimum temperature observations and forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration around this threshold for August 28. High humidity levels above 85% and easterly winds have further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows typically range 26–28°C. Market-implied odds of 99.1% for 27°C reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling and shift the recorded minimum lower, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,775结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, light rain, and high dew points near 27°C associated with subtropical moisture have limited overnight radiative cooling across Shanghai, aligning official minimum temperature observations and forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration around this threshold for August 28. High humidity levels above 85% and easterly winds have further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows typically range 26–28°C. Market-implied odds of 99.1% for 27°C reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling and shift the recorded minimum lower, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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