Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, consistently indicate overnight lows in Shanghai for August 29 near 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers and elevated humidity around 80%. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, positioning 27°C and 28°C as the most probable official minimum readings from authoritative stations. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% and 39.5% implied probabilities, aligns with this narrow range amid stable atmospheric patterns, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect the low likelihood of stronger cooling or cold-air advection in the current setup. Updated model runs through the weekend will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日上海最低气温？
8月29日上海最低气温？
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
40%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 40%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
$123 交易量
<1%
23°C
$10 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15 交易量
3%
25°C
$75 交易量
5%
26°C
$105 交易量
8%
27°C
$344 交易量
50%
28°C
$121 交易量
40%
29°C
$67 交易量
5%
30°C
$23 交易量
1%
31°C
$10 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$39 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, consistently indicate overnight lows in Shanghai for August 29 near 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers and elevated humidity around 80%. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, positioning 27°C and 28°C as the most probable official minimum readings from authoritative stations. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% and 39.5% implied probabilities, aligns with this narrow range amid stable atmospheric patterns, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect the low likelihood of stronger cooling or cold-air advection in the current setup. Updated model runs through the weekend will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$931结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, consistently indicate overnight lows in Shanghai for August 29 near 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers and elevated humidity around 80%. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, positioning 27°C and 28°C as the most probable official minimum readings from authoritative stations. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% and 39.5% implied probabilities, aligns with this narrow range amid stable atmospheric patterns, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect the low likelihood of stronger cooling or cold-air advection in the current setup. Updated model runs through the weekend will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$931结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, consistently indicate overnight lows in Shanghai for August 29 near 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers and elevated humidity around 80%. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling typical of the East Asian summer monsoon, positioning 27°C and 28°C as the most probable official minimum readings from authoritative stations. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% and 39.5% implied probabilities, aligns with this narrow range amid stable atmospheric patterns, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect the low likelihood of stronger cooling or cold-air advection in the current setup. Updated model runs through the weekend will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题