Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from the August 28–29 weather process, as reported by the Chongqing Meteorological Station, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities concentrated on overnight lows near 22–25°C for August 30. Official forecasts and model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, project minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid lingering moisture and light winds that limit radiational cooling. The elevated weighting on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty around localized variations or stronger-than-expected clearing, while higher bins above 25°C receive minimal support given the near-term data. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will determine whether probabilities shift toward the central range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日重庆气温最低？
8月30日重庆气温最低？
19°C or below 90%
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
23°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
19°C or below
90%
20°C
49%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
49%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
9%
19°C or below 90%
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
23°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
19°C or below
$0 交易量
90%
20°C
$0 交易量
49%
21°C
$0 交易量
24%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
49%
26°C
$0 交易量
8%
27°C
$5 交易量
2%
28°C
$16 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$5 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from the August 28–29 weather process, as reported by the Chongqing Meteorological Station, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities concentrated on overnight lows near 22–25°C for August 30. Official forecasts and model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, project minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid lingering moisture and light winds that limit radiational cooling. The elevated weighting on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty around localized variations or stronger-than-expected clearing, while higher bins above 25°C receive minimal support given the near-term data. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will determine whether probabilities shift toward the central range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$26结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from the August 28–29 weather process, as reported by the Chongqing Meteorological Station, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities concentrated on overnight lows near 22–25°C for August 30. Official forecasts and model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, project minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid lingering moisture and light winds that limit radiational cooling. The elevated weighting on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty around localized variations or stronger-than-expected clearing, while higher bins above 25°C receive minimal support given the near-term data. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will determine whether probabilities shift toward the central range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall and cloud cover from the August 28–29 weather process, as reported by the Chongqing Meteorological Station, are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities concentrated on overnight lows near 22–25°C for August 30. Official forecasts and model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, project minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid lingering moisture and light winds that limit radiational cooling. The elevated weighting on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty around localized variations or stronger-than-expected clearing, while higher bins above 25°C receive minimal support given the near-term data. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of resolution will determine whether probabilities shift toward the central range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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