Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a minimum temperature of 15–17 °C for London on 28 August, driven by an incoming Atlantic front bringing southwest winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current guidance shows overnight lows near 16 °C under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 14–15 °C, consistent with late-August climatology but tempered by the unsettled pattern following warmer, humid air earlier in the week. Trader consensus at 16 °C (50 %) and 17 °C (30 %) reflects this model agreement, while the 20 % on 15 °C accounts for possible stronger showers or clearer breaks that could allow slightly greater cooling before resolution. Updated forecasts through 27 August remain the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日伦敦最低气温？
8月28日伦敦最低气温？
16°C 38%
17°C 32%
15°C 20%
12°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
11°C或更低
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
20%
16°C
49%
17°C
32%
18°C
9%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C或更高
7%
16°C 38%
17°C 32%
15°C 20%
12°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
11°C或更低
$27 交易量
4%
12°C
$27 交易量
9%
13°C
$12 交易量
5%
14°C
$32 交易量
6%
15°C
$37 交易量
20%
16°C
$47 交易量
49%
17°C
$36 交易量
32%
18°C
$20 交易量
9%
19°C
$20 交易量
5%
20°C
$27 交易量
9%
21°C或更高
$27 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a minimum temperature of 15–17 °C for London on 28 August, driven by an incoming Atlantic front bringing southwest winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current guidance shows overnight lows near 16 °C under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 14–15 °C, consistent with late-August climatology but tempered by the unsettled pattern following warmer, humid air earlier in the week. Trader consensus at 16 °C (50 %) and 17 °C (30 %) reflects this model agreement, while the 20 % on 15 °C accounts for possible stronger showers or clearer breaks that could allow slightly greater cooling before resolution. Updated forecasts through 27 August remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$312结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a minimum temperature of 15–17 °C for London on 28 August, driven by an incoming Atlantic front bringing southwest winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current guidance shows overnight lows near 16 °C under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 14–15 °C, consistent with late-August climatology but tempered by the unsettled pattern following warmer, humid air earlier in the week. Trader consensus at 16 °C (50 %) and 17 °C (30 %) reflects this model agreement, while the 20 % on 15 °C accounts for possible stronger showers or clearer breaks that could allow slightly greater cooling before resolution. Updated forecasts through 27 August remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$312结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a minimum temperature of 15–17 °C for London on 28 August, driven by an incoming Atlantic front bringing southwest winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Current guidance shows overnight lows near 16 °C under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 14–15 °C, consistent with late-August climatology but tempered by the unsettled pattern following warmer, humid air earlier in the week. Trader consensus at 16 °C (50 %) and 17 °C (30 %) reflects this model agreement, while the 20 % on 15 °C accounts for possible stronger showers or clearer breaks that could allow slightly greater cooling before resolution. Updated forecasts through 27 August remain the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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